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Eurovision odds see Croatia a bookies favourite

UK entry Olly Alexander isn't looking a likely winner so far...

BBC

Eurovision odds see Croatia a bookies favourite

Croatia Favoured with “75% Chance” of Winning Eurovision Semi-Final 1, Predicts Bookmakers…

According to the latest forecasts from UK bookmakers, Croatia is the clear frontrunner to triumph in Eurovision’s Semi-Final 1. Represented by Baby Lasagna, Croatia stands as the odds-on favourites at 1/3 odds-on to clinch victory in Tuesday’s Semi-Final, indicating an impressive 75% implied probability.

In addition to leading their Semi-Final, Croatia is currently the bookies’ tournament favourites at odds of 11/8 to win Saturday’s Final. Meanwhile, Ireland has emerged as the second-most-popular bet to win the Semi-Final on Tuesday, taking 22% of bets on Oddschecker in 2024.

Ireland’s representative, Bambie Thug, is odds of 12/1 to win Semi-Final 1, and favourable odds of 1/18 to achieve a Top 10 Finish and qualify for Saturday’s final (95% implied probability). For the Eurovision final on Saturday, Bambie Thug maintains odds of 12/1, corresponding to an implied probability of 7.7%.

The UK of course heads straight to the final, we’ll have to see if Olly Alexander can charm Europe.

Oddschecker’s Leon Blackman:

“Eurovision favourites, Croatia, are projected a commanding win in tonight’s Semi-Final 1. Across the 20+ bookmakers on Oddschecker, Croatia are odds of 1/3 or shorter, translating to a 75% implied probability of a win on Tuesday. Furthermore, they currently also stand as the frontrunners to win the final on Saturday, valued at odds of 11/8. Bookies are confident Ireland and Bambie Thug through to the final, with a Top 10 finish currently 1/18, converting to a 95% implied probability.”

https://www.oddschecker.com/tv/eurovision/winner

Semi Final 1 Winner
Odds
Implied Probability
Croatia
1/3
75%
Ukraine
4/1
20%
Ireland
12/1
7.7%
Finland
28/1
3.4%
Lithuania
33/1
2.9%
Luxembourg
80/1
12%
Poland
150/1
0.7%
Cyprus
200/1
0.5%
Portugal
200/1
0.5%
Serbia
200/1
0.5%
Azerbaijan
300/1
0.3%
Iceland
300/1
0.3%
Slovenia
300/1
0.3%
Australia
300/1
0.3%

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